- If the trend continues, by 2030 Mexico we will be 279% above the projected number of deaths and injuries.
- Seven out of 10 road fatalities involve motorcyclists, pedestrians, and cyclists, while 97% of traffic incidents occur in cities.
- Motorcyclist mortality increased by 13.9% compared to 2022.
- Crashes on highways have shown a 30% downward trend..
Mexico City, October 8, 2025 — Fundación Aleatica para la Seguridad Vial (Aleatica Foundation for Road Safety) presents the findings of the Road Safety Monitor: A Snapshot of Mexico’s Situation Toward 2030, a report based on the most recent official data (2023) that confirms a critical scenario: Mexico is dramatically moving away from the expected goal of reducing road fatalities and serious injuries by at least 50% by 2030.
The situation places Mexico on a troubling path: the country could reach 25,434 annual fatalities in 2030, which would mean doubling current fatalities and exceeding the target by 279% (the target for the Second United Nations Decade of Action for Road Safety (2021–2030) is 6,710 annual fatalities by 2030.
In its second edition, the report shows that 16,489 road fatalities were recorded in 2023, the highest figure since records began in 2015 and a 6.5% increase over 2022. Serious injuries also rebounded, with 43,966 cases, up 2.9% over the previous year.
Motorcyclists, pedestrians, and cyclists: the most vulnerable
The most alarming growth is among motorcyclists: in 2023 alone, 5,927 fatalities were reported, a 13.9% increase over the previous year. In less than a decade, mortality in this group has risen by 126%.
For comparative purposes and to identify trends, a minimum period of five years is considered necessary. In this case, the analysis covers nearly a decade (2015–2023), allowing for a more accurate projection of the evolution toward 2030. The year 2015 was taken as a reference point, as it marked the recognition of the need for a Second Decade of Action for Road Safety, following the failure of the first. Likewise, the analysis is based on the most recent Global Ministerial Conference, held in Stockholm in 2020, where a call to action was issued and the Stockholm Declaration was adopted, setting the goal of reducing fatalities and serious injuries by at least 50% by 2030.
Today, seven out of ten road fatalities involve motorcyclists, pedestrians, or cyclists, confirming that the most vulnerable road users face the greatest risk in traffic.
Urban risk
The analysis also reveals that 97% of incidents occur in cities, making it urgent to focus road safety policies on urban environments. In contrast, highways show a 30% decline in incidents since 2015.
This positive trend reflects more effective management characterized by greater enforcement and speed control, higher infrastructure and signage standards, and less interaction with vulnerable users compared to urban areas. Although challenges remain, the highway experience shows that supervision, design, and regulation strategies can translate into sustained reductions in crash rates.
Bosco Martí, President of Fundación Aleatica para la Seguridad Vial, issued an urgent call to action:
“The country can save more lives if it prioritizes actions in cities and places motorcyclists, pedestrians, and cyclists at the center of public policy priorities.”
He added: “Fundación Aleatica’s advocacy is reflected in our active participation in Working Group 4 of the General Law of Mobility and Road Safety, contributing evidence and proposals to strengthen national regulations. We are also voting members of the Citizen Observatory of Mobility and Road Safety of the State of Mexico and the Road Safety Data Observatory of Mexico City.”
State-level differences
The comparative analysis wide contrasts among states and user groups. States such as Tabasco (23.7) and Colima (22.6) have the highest mortality rates per 100,000 inhabitants, especially among motorcyclists. In contrast, the State of Mexico (4.8) and Veracruz (5.7) have the lowest rates, reflecting the positive impact of targeted mitigation strategies. These findings confirm that reducing fatalities requires differentiated interventions by region and user type, with particular emphasis on motorcyclists, the most vulnerable group in the country.
Positive signs
Vehicle occupants fatalities fell by 22.1% between 2015 and 2023, and cyclist fatalities decreased by 2.3% between 2022 and 2023. This pattern suggests that strengthening safe infrastructure -particularly bike lanes, as well as protected crossings, adequate signage, and dedicated lanes- combined with greater enforcement and road safety education, helps consolidate sustained reductions in vulnerable groups.
The Monitor also warns that over the last decade, the number of motorcycles in circulation increased by 240%, with more than 1.2 million new units added in just the year. On a preliminary basis, it is estimated that motorcyclist fatalities have increased by 160% in ten years and they now account for about 65% of all serious injuries recorded in the .
For more information, please refer to the attached data sheet [here].
About Fundación Aleatica para la Seguridad Vial
We are a foundation committed to making the right to safe mobility under road-safety conditions a reality for everyone. Through a multisector public agenda, we work on strategic actions that promote safe infrastructure, safe vehicles, and safe road use.
Our vision is to become the benchmark and catalyst for cultural change in road safety, fostering cross-sector collaboration to achieve the goals of the Second United Nations Decade of Action for Road Safety 2021–2030, aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals of the 2030 Agenda.
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